The points Man City must drop for Arsenal to win the tittle
Manchester City has surpassed Arsenal at the summit of the Premier League, which could be an ominous sign for the remainder of the season.
As a consequence of Wednesday night’s 4-1 loss at the Etihad Stadium, not only were the Gunners beaten by City for the third time in all competitions this season, but they also lost control of their own title destiny.
Even if Mikel Arteta’s team defeats Chelsea, Newcastle United, Brighton, Nottingham Forest, and Wolves, they will not be crowned Premier League champions if Manchester City also wins their final seven games.
As a result, all eyes were on Craven Cottage on Sunday afternoon, with Pep Guardiola’s team arriving in the capital with the incentive of moving to the summit of the Premier League table with another victory. Arsenal needed to remain unbeaten and hoped for a few favors elsewhere.
Now, there was a pattern this season that gave Arsenal supporters optimism for a title upset. On both occasions that City defeated the north London club, they failed to win their next contest, losing 1-0 at Tottenham Hotspur and drawing 1-1 with Nottingham Forest, respectively.
However, there would be no third error. Despite the best efforts of ex-Spurs loanee Carlos Vinicius and Kevin De Bruyne’s absence, Erling Haaland and Julian Alvarez’s goals gave the visitors their eighth consecutive Premier League victory as they entered the final stretch of the season.
As a result, there has been a change at the top of the table, with Man City now leading the way – for the first time since February after winning at the Emirates Stadium – on 76 points, with Arsenal trailing by one point and knowing they can reclaim the top spot if they beat Chelsea on Tuesday night, albeit for only 24 hours.
While there are new leaders in the Premier League, the challenge for City remains the same. They can retain their title with 90 points by winning four of their remaining six matches against West Ham United (on Wednesday night), Leeds United, Everton, Chelsea, Brighton, and Brentford and drawing two.
Arsenal, on the other hand, can also reach 90 points, which was sufficient during the 2003-04 Invincibles season. However, due to their inferior goal difference, they would require Man City to drop five points, which equates to four wins, a draw (and a loss) from their remaining games, resulting in a total of 89 points.
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Nevertheless, today’s outcome at Craven Cottage has provided the Gunners with greater clarity. Arteta’s team would claim the Premier League title in the best-case scenario if they won their remaining five matches and Manchester City drew and lost at least once.
02/05 – Chelsea (H) – Arsenal’s remaining matchup.
07/05 – Newcastle United on the road
Brighton (H) — 14/05
20/05/Nottingham Forest (Away).
28/05 – Wolf Pack (H)
The points Man City must drop for Arsenal to win the tittle